I. Debt Crisis and Debt Management
II. Development
III. Trade and Protectionism
IV. Coordination of Policy and
Institutions
V. International Monetary Reform
VI. Peace, Security and Disarmament
1. The InterAction Council is gravely
concerned about a number of issues affecting world peace and development. This
concern, already expressed at the Council's first session in
Vienna in November 1983, has been deepened by the events and trends of the past six
months.
2. A vacuum has emerged at the international level with a virtual absence of meaningful
contacts between the two superpowers, increasing the danger of nuclear confrontation with
unimaginable destructive consequences. An escalating arms race and conflicts among
developing countries drain large amounts of resources urgently required for development.
A vacuum has also developed in relations between developing and developed
countries, endangering the prospects for prosperity and development.
3. The stability of worldwide monetary and financial arrangements is now in question,
particularly in view of the heavy debt burden of developing countries which is exacerbated
by high deficits in industrial countries, leading to high interest rates. At the
same time, trade arrangements are increasingly afflicted by protectionism. This
situation is, in the Council's view, unsustainable. Decisive and imaginative
leadership is required from the Governments of all countries, from international groups
and organizations, from the private sector and from individuals. All must recognise
that they must accept some measure of sacrifice to achieve constructive solutions which
are indeed feasible and which will be in the vital interests of all.
4. A special effort is required, based on international solidarity and common human
interest, to increase the assistance provided to the least developed countries.
These countries, already underdeveloped, have suffered acutely from the turmoil of the
international economic system, and now are facing natural disasters as well.
5. The Council reaffirmed its conviction that the United Nations Organization should play
a critically important role in the examination and solution of the major issues
confronting humanity - peace, disarmament and world development.
6. Current problems of peace and development cannot be solved simply by ad hoc
measures in response to crises as they emerge. Based on the recommendations by a group of financial
experts chaired by Mr. Helmut Schmidt1, the Council
reviewed possibilities for realistic action in the critical areas of money, finance and
debt. The Council affirms that restoration of world prosperity on a sustainable basis will
require responsible and concerted action by all: North and South, market and
socialist economies, oil-exporting and oil-importing countries, debtor and creditor
countries, least developed and other developing countries, government, international
organizations and private sector, banks in particular.
1 In addition to Mr. Schmidt, the following experts participated:
Aldo Ferrer (Argentina), Milton W. Hudson (United States), Fritz Leutwiler (Switzerland),
Michiya Matsukawa (Japan), Abdul Aziz al-Quraishi (Saudi Arabia), I.G. Patel (India),
Mamoudou Toure (Senegal) and John Williamson (United Kingdom).
7. A number of important principles must
be respected:
The institutions of international
economic, financial and monetary co-operation should be reinforced and sustained, and
adapted to present and future needs of the world economy and development;
The economic waste involved in current
global levels of military expenditure which is a significant causal factor in the economic
difficulties confronted by the world community must be diminished;
Human resource development - improving
the skills and management abilities of developing countries - is a prerequisite for
economic and social progress and should be accelerated;
The ominous long-term economic
implications posed by the depletion of natural resources and by ecological deterioration
should be given serious attention; and
The ultimate aims of economic activity
should be an enhancement of welfare and the respect of human rights and of cultural
values, in order to benefit the individual.
8. The debt problem was jointly created by the actions of all parties. It is
therefore the joint responsibility of all to seek solutions. The world must not
repeat the disasters that flowed from the demands for unrealistic resource transfers in
connection with reparations and interallied war debt during the interwar years. Co-operation among central banks and the skillful responses of the
Bank for International Settlements and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have
succeeded in containing thus far the debt crisis. Govern the gravity of the economic
situation of developing countries and of a number of commercial banks in the developed
countries, it is clear that special emphasis needs to be given to proposals for practical
action to manage development and debt problems rather than to react to them. There
is now an urgent need for a comprehensive solution to the debtor-creditor problem.
This statement spells out some of the principles that should apply in working for such a
solution. This task is or paramount importance if a major international crisis is to
be averted.
9. Debtor countries should pursue realistic adjustment programmes agreed in good time with
the IMF, as they pursue development programmes with the World Bank. Such programmes
need to combine a sustained improvement in the balance of payments with a resumption of
economic growth and development. At present, the essential, even if unpopular, role
of the IMF is that of negotiating adjustment programmes with countries confronting balance
of payment or debt-servicing problems. There must be conditionality, otherwise fresh
credits will not flow. This conditionality must take into account the interests of
debtors and creditors alike and the social and political situations of the countries
concerned. The conditions applied in the future should not so seriously affect the
economic, social and political fabric of the country, the living conditions of its people,
or the availability of critical development inputs, that they call in question the
possibility of a resumption of growth and continuing economic and social progress.
10. Countries should create favourable conditions for the return of flight capital, which
has reached substantial dimensions in a number of countries in recent years and which
contributes significantly to the debt problem. Likewise
they should try to attract more direct private investment. This above all, entails
realistic exchange rate policies, the avoidance of artificialities in domestic pricing and
the removal of bureaucratic restrictions on foreign investment, which must, however,
reflect the concerns and interests of both the investors and the recipient countries.
11. Given the economic situation faced by debtor countries, an element of austerity is
inevitable in effective adjustment programmes but austerity should not be pushed beyond
the level essential for successful medium-term adjustment. Adjustment programmes should
encourage the transformation of productive structure, stabilisation and increased capital
formation, so that countries can adapt to the changing conditions of the world economy.
12. On the other hand it is politically intolerable that as a result of fluctuations in
interest and exchange rates, debtor countries can not predict the maximum debt service
payments that they will have to make in dollars for the year ahead. This uncertainty has a
devastating effect on national planning and development. Measures to increase
predictability are needed to provide some degree of protection against such fluctuating
rates.
13. The contribution of the commercial
banks should be to provide fresh money and interest relief in instances where a debtor
country is making a good-faith commitment to adhere to an IMF programme, and to devise
mechanisms that will cap the debt service payments that countries have to transfer.
Measures will need to be tailored to meet the situation of individual debtor countries
while taking into account the concerns of the creditors. To contain annual debt repayments
where they become excesive such measures may include:
the restriction of annual debt service
payments of a debtor country to an agreed maximum;
the consolidation of short-term debts to
medium-term fixed interest bonds;
multi-year rescheduling instead of the
current shortest term practice;
capitalization of interest; and
additional special measures, as may be
required, for developing countries on case by case basis.
14. The poorest developed countries, in
comparison with other groups of countries, have been forced into excessively hars
adjustment measures, partly in response to changes in their terms of trade, as a result of
declining prices for their primary products coupled with dramatic increase in oil prices.
The scale of indebtedness of these countries in world terms is not substantial and
particular measures should therefore be taken to bring the termsof debt repayment for
these countries into line with their longer term capacity to pay, while upholding the
basic principle that obligations should be honoured.
15. The governments of creditor countries should support the establishment of the
mechanisms such as the Paris Club. They should take account of the vital interests of
debtor countries, in particular, in a lowering of world interest rates and in trade
expansion when they formulate their macro-economic policies. Stability and confidence
would be greatly enhanced if governments of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting
Countries (OPEC), other governments and central banks would agree to consolidate a larger
part of their deposits into medium term bonds.
16. The inernational financial institutions must be furnished with a levelof financial
resources commensurate to their tasks. Banking legislation should be harmonized,
particularly with regard to reserve requirements among the major creditor countries.
Governments of creditor countries must also anticipate lower tax revenues due to the
losses of commercial banks.
17. It is important to work towards international understanding on a coherent set of
measures along the lines set out above, constituting in effect, a General Agreement to
Lend.
18. Policies to promote the development of developing countries should take into account
the economic situations and objectives of individual countries and strive for appropriate
conditions for intensive international co-operation for development. There are no
easy, general solutions: progress can only be made step by step.
19. While the debt crisis is the main cause of the recent setback to development in the
middle income countries, the deterioration of the terms of trade has also been critical,
particularly to many low income countries. Natural disaster and catastrophic
climatological conditions have further aggravated the desperate situation of many
developing countries. The continuing excessive population growth in many areas
implies that per capita income has been falling in many places. A resumption of
development will again demand contributions from all the parties involved: from the
developing countries themselves, whose own efforts contribute most, from the western
developed countries, and from the centrally planned economies.
20. Developed countries, of both East and West, have a singular responsibility to increase
trade and aid and to encourage the transfer of technology which is essential to
modernisation and adjustment, and thus to exports and the servicing of debt. Recent
measures that have curtailed the magnitude of contributions my multilateral organizations
to the cause of development are misguided and run counter to the very interests of
developed countries. The replenishment of the International Development Association
(IDA) should be concluded rapidly and at the level proposed by the World Bank management.
This should be done, whether or not all countries are prepared to contribute their
previously agreed shares.
21. Initiatives by the management of the World Bank Group to strengthen and enlarge its
operations should be strongly supported. In particular, there should be a
substantial increase in World Bank capital. The United Nations Development Programme
(UNDP), as the central agency for multilateral technical assistance, must have
significantly increased support in view of its critical role in assisting developing
countries in heightening human skills which is the foundation of effective and sustainable
economic development.
22. The developing countries at all levels of development have the principal
responsibility for their own development. The experience of a number of East Asian
countries has demonstrated the beneficial effects of policies emphasizing human resource
development, population planning, exploitation of the possibilities offered by
international trade, and encouraging direct private investment, which is the most
efficient way of transferring technology, compatible with the objectives, values and
conditions of each country. In addition, developing countries stand to gain
substantial dividends from helping each other in a more systematic way, through regional
co-operation, and economic and technical co-operation among themselves.
23. The particular problems of the least developed countries require urgent and sustained
attention through intensified assistance from the wider world community. There is an
urgent need for a rapid increase in concessional assistance to these countries, together
with measures n the field of trade and technical co-operation to increase their earnings
and strengthen their domestic capabilities.
24. In order to promote a dramatic increase in resources for the deprived peoples of these
countries, the InterAction Council intends to launch an extensive campaign so as to
mobilise public opinion throughout the world, together with private sector organizations,
in particular, corporations and banks.
25. The resolution of the debt crisis, and restoration of sustained global economic growth
depend directly upon the trade policies of governments. A large and growing share of
world trade, already more than half of all trade, is restricted by protectionist measures
or distorted by subsidies. The trend towards protectionism and deterioration of
trade relations among nations must be arrested and reversed.
26. Towards this end, determined efforts
must be made to restore the effectiveness of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade
(GATT) and to bring governments back under the multilateral discipline of mutual rights
and obligations embodied in the GATT.
27. As a first step, efforts should be intensified to implement already agreed obligations
to pursue the work programme of GATT. A new round of trade negotiations could be
initiated with the aim of liberalizing world markets, arresting the spread of economic
nationalism and protectionism. Such a new round could contribute to restoring
confidence in the multilateral approach to the management of trade relations. Until
the time, however, that its results can come into effect, other actions with greater
immediacy are also needed.
28. As an additional step, the major trading nations should commit themselves to bring all
of their import restrictive actions, both formal and informal, into the GATT framework for
multilateral scrutiny. They should refrain from any new safeguards or restrictive
actions outside the rules of GATT, arresting the present erosion in international
discipline and the rule of law, and opening the way for a mutually agreed process of
rolling back present restrictions.
29. Developed countries should reduce tariff and non-tariff trade restrictions,
particularly on exports from developing countries, and should do so on a
non-discriminatory basis. In addition, they should reduce overproduction in certain
sectors, such as agriculture, textiles and steel, and refrain from engaging in barter
trade. To counter the disruptions in export earnings that periodically occur for
those countries dependent on one or few commodity exports, international schemes such as a
widened STABEX type arrangement should be developed.
30. If there is significant resistance by some governments to such liberalisation, then an
effort could be made, among those countries willing to do so, to explore the outlines of a
more co-operative and liberal trading relationship based on agreement among them on a code
of liberalisation. Such a code would include commitments that members would not
increase protection against other members, that they would eliminate illegal forms of
protection, and that they would seek to liberalise all existing restrictions. Such a
code would be open to the accession of other states in due course.
31. Consideration could also be given to the negotiation of regional or more broadly based
free trade arrangements to reduce gradually the inhibiting effects of protectionism to
open the way for trade expansion among them.
32. The beneficial effects, especially to developed countries, of the recent economic
recovery in the United States are fully recognized, particularly in terms of increased
exports to the United States by other countries and the resulting export-led growth.
Such recovery has, however, severe disadvantages and is in
any event unsustainable in the longer run. Extremely high real interest rates magnify the
debt problem and restrain productive investment and thereby employment around the world.
They induce a large net capital inflow to the largest
national economy in the world, which is not tolerable on the present scale over extended
periods.
33. There is an ever present danger that a loss of confidence in the dollar will
precipitate a depreciation that would oblige the Federal Reserve Board to raise interest
rates further, risking renewed deep depression. Prompt
action to reduce the US budget deficit substantially is therefore imperative for
sustainable revitalization of the world economy.
34. Present mechanisms for effective coordination of the economic policies of the major
industrialized countries, including summit meetings have recently proved ineffective.
Clearly, there is an urgent need to achieve more reliable and responsive
inter-governmental co-ordination of economic policies. To help accomplish this goal,
the InterAction Council will seek to convey to present government leaders the merits and
urgency of such systematic co-ordination and especially the prompt adoption of responsible
fiscal policies by all major powers.
35. International co-operation is also frustrated by institutional rigidities. For
example, while there is an intimate interaction between the world trade and financial
problems, there is little serious effort to deal with the totality of the present crisis
in a comprehensive manner.
36. The fundamental split in economic powers and responsibilities in capitals is reflected
in the differences among the multilateral economic institutions. The IMF is focused
almost entirely on short-term financial and macro-economic difficulties; the multilateral
development banks are primarily concerned with supporting new projects for agriculture,
industry, or social and economic infrastructure; the GATT has concentrated its energies on
sector-by-sector trade disputes, and on periodic renewal of wold-scale efforts to
liberalize movements of goods, without regard to capital flows and exchange rates.
37. It is essential to improve co-operation among the major multilateral economic
institutions and within the Development Committee of the World Bank. Also,
co-operation between GATT and the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
(UNCTAD) should be intensified. The InterAction Council intends to promote support
for such co-operation.
38. Present monetary arrangements, embodying as they do volatile relationships, have not
proved generally satisfactory. Discussions of reform are in progress in many fora
and no one at present has an overview of the thrust of all these discussions. There
is as yet, no sign of the emergence of a new consensus among the major economic powers.
The InterAction Council will continue to work for a consensus
on monetary reform.
39. The InterAction Council, while continuing to review these issues further, at this
stage stresses the following particular issues in the field of monetary reform:
The need for greater
stability between the dollar, ECU and yen, without a freezing of their exchange rates.
This must, however, not be achieved at the cost of
unsatisfactory domestic performance in the countries involved;
The need for an annual
allocation of a limited quantity of Special Drawing Rights for several years;
- The need to provide for a future increase in IMF
resources which might be achieved by arrangements for increased borrowing from
governments, so as to allow the financing of medium-term adjustment programmes.
40. Finally, the InterAction Council is fully aware of the importance attached by many
concerned parties to the convening of an international conference on monetary, financial
and debt issues. It recognizes, as stated above, the need for both immediate
measures in response to the present crisis, and for fundamental measures to re-establish
the world systems of money and finance on a sound basis, sustainable over the long term. Short-term and long-term measures
must, of course, be mutually reinforcing.
41. The InterAction Council stresses the clear need for a continuing study of all the
issues so as to clarify the possibilities for constructive changes and for international
agreement on interim and longer term measures. The Council intends to review this matter thoroughly at
its next session. In the long run, a greater degree of stability of exchange rates
and much greater discipline of governments in orienting their monetary and fiscal policies
in relation to their balance of payment situation is clearly indispensable.
42. The complete breakdown of contacts at the top level
between the United States and the Soviet Union has led to a dangerous deterioration in the
relationship between the two superpowers, aggravating local instability and diminishing
the capacity of either country to play a constructive role in regional conflicts.
43. The Council urges the leaders of both countries to re-establish a personal dialogue at
the earliest possible date and invites the leaders of other concerned countries to lend
their weight to achieve this goal. Even if no result is achieved other than the fact
that the leaders of the two superpowers will be getting to know each other, a summit of
this kind would serve an important purpose. Communications must be maintained among
all governments, regardless of political ideology. The Council believes that
proposals to reduce tensions should not be made public before they have been presented to
a negotiating partner as this will very likely result in a negative response.
44. An increasing number of developing countries are now diverted by conflict from the
essential task of advancing their development. Every effort must therefore be made
to avoid an extension of the East-West confrontation to the developing world.
Regional efforts towards peace should be encouraged and strengthened, such as those by the
Contadora Group in Central America and the Association of South-East Asian Nations (ASEAN)
in South-East Asia. The Council expresses its strong support for such efforts, which
will not only promote peace and development, but also enhance democratic structures in the
countries concerned.
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